Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 1.983864 2.163278 2.354567 2.574196 2.820008 3.087342 3.401014
2026-01-25 1.719240 1.963894 2.240416 2.577991 2.981523 3.451608 4.045324
2026-02-01 1.514910 1.788043 2.109838 2.520593 3.036209 3.669074 4.515651
2026-02-08 1.372685 1.662543 2.015503 2.482566 3.092902 3.875502 4.975066
2026-02-15 1.269140 1.571030 1.949110 2.465192 3.163691 4.094786 5.462391
2026-02-22 1.212330 1.531466 1.941782 2.518579 3.326003 4.443719 6.159218
2026-03-01 1.138594 1.462742 1.888734 2.502599 3.386964 4.651814 6.669558
2026-03-08 1.067067 1.391111 1.825215 2.464620 3.409708 4.801830 7.102533
2026-03-15 0.988840 1.304928 1.735200 2.380727 3.355831 4.828869 7.339102
2026-03-22 0.949280 1.269522 1.713168 2.392444 3.443708 5.077592 7.961057
2026-03-29 0.922525 1.250132 1.711974 2.433688 3.578363 5.409898 8.761538
2026-04-05 0.895183 1.227975 1.704795 2.464272 3.697048 5.724992 9.568458
2026-04-12 0.866611 1.203127 1.693051 2.488343 3.809552 6.044836 10.436474
2026-04-19 0.834926 1.171913 1.669771 2.492222 3.888386 6.313674 11.244873
2026-04-26 0.791398 1.120598 1.612704 2.437232 3.861719 6.390373 11.680212
2026-05-03 0.755709 1.079385 1.568914 2.400773 3.863491 6.517536 12.233785
2026-05-10 0.727175 1.047759 1.538368 2.384111 3.898332 6.708685 12.948466
2026-05-17 0.715430 1.041564 1.547709 2.435309 4.059353 7.157440 14.298080
2026-05-24 0.690461 1.013297 1.519801 2.419986 4.095407 7.361866 15.120090
2026-05-31 0.662849 0.979606 1.481327 2.383563 4.088365 7.477286 15.747244
2026-06-07 0.628287 0.933386 1.420092 2.303087 3.990641 7.395063 15.876783
2026-06-14 0.613309 0.918311 1.410105 2.314328 4.072646 7.700755 17.034109
2026-06-21 0.604349 0.912639 1.415572 2.353894 4.213686 8.148642 18.643290